The Blob: Impacts of the 2013-2016 Marine Heatwave on Oregon

By Zechariah Meunier

From December 2013 to August 2016, the northeast Pacific Ocean experienced a severe marine heatwave, or warm water event, known as the Blob. Like all marine heatwaves, the Blob was characterized by warmer-than-average ocean temperatures that lasted for a prolonged period. The heatwave was unusual because it lasted for 711 days, making it one of the longest marine heatwaves ever recorded on Earth. Collectively, the Blob’s vast scale, extreme temperatures, and extended duration caused dramatic changes in the abundance, distribution, diversity, and health of organisms, including some wildlife species that experienced mass mortality. It was an ominous harbinger of future ocean conditions on a warming planet.

The Blob spanned from the Gulf of Alaska to Baja California, although its intensity, duration, and effects varied throughout the northeast Pacific. At the ocean-basin scale, the heatwave reached peak intensity in July 2015 when sea surface temperatures rose to 2.6°C (4.8°F) above the interannual mean (that is, the multiyear average). On the Oregon Coast, the highest sea surface temperature anomalies occurred from fall 2014 to summer 2015. Beneath the surface, the severe temperatures extended to depths of up to 140 meters (460 feet). The anomalies were caused by complex interactions between processes occurring in the oceans (oceanographic) and those occurring in the atmosphere (meteorologic). For example, instances of high atmospheric pressure over the ocean cause air to sink and warm, reducing the rate of heat loss from the sea surface. This happened during winter 2013, followed by an El Niño event, leading to warmer than average ocean waters.

In Oregon, the ecological effects of the Blob were evident at every level of the food web. At the base of coastal ecosystems, macroalgae (large algae and kelps, for example) and plants are susceptible to temperature stress, and the elevated temperatures associated with the Blob and the concurrent El Niño reduced the health of several kelp species. Native eelgrass declined in northern Oregon estuaries where water became too hot, but eelgrass increased marginally in southern Oregon likely due to the warming of normally cold estuarine water.

Phytoplankton are also at the bottom of most marine ecosystems, and their abundance in the Pacific Northwest increased from summer 2014 to summer 2015. Several types of phytoplankton produce toxic chemicals, and a record-breaking harmful algal bloom (HAB) coincided with the Blob. The bloom grew into one of the largest and most severe ever documented, stretching from southern California to the Aleutian Islands. Lasting from May to October 2015, the HAB was implicated in the death of predators such as sea lions and seabirds because of biomagnification, a process in which increasing concentrations of toxins accumulate at higher and higher levels up the food chain.

The Blob also caused changes in zooplankton, particularly copepods and krill, which are vital food for many organisms. Typically, colder water from the Gulf of Alaska moves south in the spring, bringing with it northern copepod species that replace smaller and less nutritious southern copepod species. In 2015, however, northern copepods did not appear, and krill populations dramatically declined. These declines adversely affected many organisms that rely on zooplankton, leading to the mass mortality of the Cassin’s auklet (a seabird), the loss of forage fishes, and poor returns of salmon to the Columbia Basin.

In turn, the loss of forage fishes triggered significant population declines in the common murre, the dominant fish-eating seabird in the Pacific Northwest. Nearly two thousand dead or emaciated common murres washed up on Oregon beaches between May 2015 and April 2016. At the top of the food web, baleen whales, California sea lions, and Guadalupe fur seals all suffered from starvation and the effects of the harmful algal bloom, leading to the animals being stranded on beaches.

The Blob and its associated physical and ecological effects led many Oregonians to suffer as well. The harmful algal bloom that occurred during the marine heatwave was dominated by diatoms that produce the potent neurotoxin domoic acid, which can cause disability and death in seabirds and marine mammals. In humans, ingesting seafood contaminated with domoic acid can cause amnesic shellfish poisoning, with symptoms including vomiting, nausea, diarrhea, and abdominal cramps within twenty-four hours. In more severe cases, neurological symptoms develop within forty-eight hours and include headache, dizziness, confusion, disorientation, short-term memory loss, motor weakness, seizures, cardiac arrhythmias, coma, and even death.

Both recreational and commercial fisheries closed due to unprecedented levels of toxins, resulting in industry losses of as much as $70 million. In Oregon, the statewide closure of the razor clam harvest and the delayed opening of the Dungeness crab fishery, which ranges from central California to the Gulf of Alaska, affected fishing communities and the livelihoods of many people. As a small boost to tourism, the warm water caused by the Blob also brought unusual species of whales, such as the rare Bryde’s whale, to many parts of the West Coast, boosting interest in whale-watching.

Marine heatwaves like the Blob are one of many symptoms of climate change. From 1925 to 2016, the global average frequency of marine heatwaves increased by 34 percent, and the duration of those warm water events increased by 17 percent. Compared to the rest of the world, the northeast Pacific Ocean has experienced some of the highest temperature anomalies over the past century. Global climate models project significant increases in marine heatwave intensity and duration, with many parts of the ocean reaching a near-permanent heatwave state by the late twenty-first century. Oregon’s coastal ocean is projected to experience significant increases in the average number of marine heatwave days per year.

Predicting marine heatwaves is a nuanced science, and additional research is needed to assess predictability limits, ecological and socioeconomic effects, and physical drivers such as the composition of the atmosphere and the effects of clouds. The study of the Blob’s impact on the people and ecosystems in Oregon allows scientists and policymakers to understand and potentially mitigate the effects of warming oceans around the world.



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Further Reading

Bond, Nicholas A., Meghan F. Cronin, Howard Freeland, and Nathan Mantua. “Causes and Impacts of the 2014 Warm Anomaly in the NE Pacific.” Geophysical Research Letters 42.9 (2015): 3414–20.

Cavole, Leticia, et al. “Biological Impacts of the 2013–2015 Warm-Water Anomaly in the Northeast Pacific: Winners, Losers, and the Future.” Oceanography 29.2 (2016). 

Gentemann, Chelle L., Melanie R. Fewings, and Marisol García‐Reyes. “Satellite Sea Surface Temperatures along the West Coast of the United States during the 2014–2016 Northeast Pacific Marine Heat Wave.” Geophysical Research Letters 44.1 (2017): 312–19. 

Hobday, Alistair J., et al. “A Hierarchical Approach to Defining Marine Heatwaves.” Progress in Oceanography 141 (February 2016): 227–38. 

Hobday, Alistair, et al. “Categorizing and Naming Marine Heatwaves.” Oceanography 31.2 (June 1, 2018). 

Holbrook, Neil J., et al. “Keeping Pace with Marine Heatwaves.” Nature Reviews Earth & Environment 1.9 (September 2020): 482–93

Jones, Timothy, et al. “Massive Mortality of a Planktivorous Seabird in Response to a Marine Heatwave.” Geophysical Research Letters 45.7 (April 16, 2018): 3193–3202

Magel, Caitlin L, Francis Chan, Margot Hessing-Lewis, and Sally D. Hacker. “Differential Responses of Eelgrass and Macroalgae in Pacific Northwest Estuaries Following an Unprecedented NE Pacific Ocean Marine Heatwave.” Frontiers in Marine Science 9 (2022): 16.

McCabe, Ryan M., et al. “An Unprecedented Coastwide Toxic Algal Bloom Linked to Anomalous Ocean Conditions.” Geophysical Research Letters 43.19 (2016): 10,366-10,376. 

Oliver, Eric C. J., et al. “Longer and More Frequent Marine Heatwaves over the Past Century.” Nature Communications 9.1 (December 2018): 1324. 

Oliver, Eric C. J., et al. “Projected Marine Heatwaves in the 21st Century and the Potential for Ecological Impact.” Frontiers in Marine Science 6 (December 4, 2019): 734. 

Piatt, John F., et al. “Extreme Mortality and Reproductive Failure of Common Murres Resulting from the Northeast Pacific Marine Heatwave of 2014-2016.” Edited by David Hyrenbach. PLOS ONE 15.1 (January 15, 2020). 

Spiecker, Barbara J., and Bruce A. Menge. “El Niño and Marine Heatwaves: Ecological Impacts on Oregon Rocky Intertidal Kelp Communities at Local to Regional Scales.” Ecological Monographs (March 2, 2022).